| Forecasting The ability to forecast flooding is limited to | | | | characteristics. For example, Band 7 (long wavelength |
| the time during which changes in the hydrological | | | | infrared) always shows water as black, even if it has |
| conditions necessary for flooding to occur have begun | | | | a high sediment load. This is most useful for mapping |
| to develop. The formulation of a forecast for flood | | | | coastlines, lakes, rivers, and floods. |
| conditions requires information on current hydrological | | | | The satellites pass over the same point every 16 or 18 |
| conditions such as precipitation, river stage, water | | | | days, thus providing repetitive and comparable |
| equivalent of snowpack, temperature, soil conditions | | | | observations over time. This is particularly important for |
| over the entire drainage basin, as well as weather | | | | detection of changes and monitoring of rates and |
| reports and forecasts. | | | | extent of environmental change. |
| In small headwater regions a forecast of crest height | | | | Images are available for almost all areas of the world |
| and time of occurrence is all the information required to | | | | except within nine degrees of the north and south |
| initiate effective adjustments; the relatively rapid rate of | | | | poles. |
| rise and fall makes the period of time above flood | | | | Depending on cloud cover, images may be available in |
| stage relatively short. In lower reaches of large river | | | | repetitive observations for all countries. |
| systems where rates of rise and fall are slower, it is | | | | Mapping of flooded areas with Landsat images is not |
| important to forecast the time when various critical | | | | difficult. There are advantages and disadvantages to |
| stages of flow will be reached over the rise and fall. | | | | the methods, but within their specific characteristics |
| Reliability of forecasts for large downstream river | | | | and limitations they can be highly useful. |
| systems is generally higher than for headwater | | | | Several mapping image interpretation criteria are given |
| systems. | | | | below. They will be followed by a description of the |
| Warning Warning time for peak or overbank conditions | | | | most useful applications and limitations of the images. |
| can range from a few minutes in cloudburst conditions | | | | Interpretation Criteria Floods are imaged best on |
| to a few hours in small headwater drainages to | | | | Landsat Band 7 (long wavelength infrared) because |
| several days in the lower reaches of large river | | | | water is always black in those images and is readily |
| systems. As with forecasting, the time and reliability of | | | | distinguished from lighter-toned areas. |
| the warning increase with distance downstream | | | | Landsat color composite images show floods as dark |
| where adequate knowledge of upstream conditions | | | | blue, light blue, or bluish white as the concentration of |
| exists. | | | | sediment in the water ranges respectively from very |
| (Additional discussion on warning is found under the | | | | low, through medium, to high. |
| section, Disaster Mitigation Strategies.) Clearly the | | | | Images taken before floods can be overlaid with |
| amount of information required, the data collection | | | | images taken during floods; the resulting map of an |
| network necessary for collecting the information, the | | | | inundated area will show the difference between the |
| technical expertise required for interpretation, and the | | | | images. |
| communication system needed to present timely | | | | Digital processing of images may be necessary if the |
| information to potential victims are services that many | | | | soils in and near flooded areas are very dark and |
| poor and developing nations find difficult to provide. | | | | difficult to distinguish from the flood water. |
| The World Meteorological Organization of the United | | | | This unusual situation is not often encountered. |
| Nations, through its World Weather Watch and Global | | | | Limitations of Application Since Landsat images have a |
| Data Processing System, hopes to coordinate efforts | | | | resolution of about 0.45 hectare (one acre), details |
| to improve forecasting.8 This is especially important | | | | below that sizes are not readily visible unless they are |
| (and difficult) when conditions creating floods lie outside | | | | of high contrast. |
| of the national boundaries of the downstream region. | | | | Because of the resolution, images of floods are best |
| Remote Sensing Monitoring One of the most effective | | | | for mapping at scales from 1/1,000,000 to about 1 |
| methods of monitoring floodplains is through remote | | | | 100,000 but only rarely at scales larger than 1/ 100,000. |
| sensing. Of the various techniques available Landsat is | | | | Because of those limitations, the images are most |
| perhaps the most versatile. Landsat satellites (formally | | | | suitable for broad area mapping at small scales and |
| called Earth Resources Technology Satellites or | | | | least suitable for mapping in urban areas where |
| ERTS) are used to map, inventory, and monitor earth | | | | delineation of a flood boundary is required at much |
| features. | | | | higher precision. |
| The major sensing instrument in Landsat is a | | | | Since Landsat images are taken at regular intervals |
| multispectral scanner that produces images of the | | | | that cannot be changed, it is not possible to image a |
| earth in green, red, and two wavelengths of infrared | | | | flood at its peak, except by chance. It is, however, |
| radiation. | | | | possible to map areas that have been inundated by a |
| The products are black-and- white images, and images | | | | flood up to about two weeks after the flood has |
| in digital form that can be processed by computers. | | | | receded, because the wet ground left after flood |
| The following basic characteristics of the satellite | | | | recession can be mapped. |
| system and its images are of importance in disaster | | | | Areas undergoing flooding may often be cloud |
| planning, management, and mitigation: Each image | | | | covered during the time of a Landsat overpass, thus |
| covers an area 171 kilometers (110 miles) on a side. | | | | preventing acquisition of usable images. |
| Each wavelength band has specific useful | | | | |